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Annual recurring revenue (ARR)

Annual recurring revenue is the yearly value of subscription or contracted revenue expected to repeat, measured at a point in time. Software businesses are often priced as a multiple of it.

Also called ARR, annual recurring revenue

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Definition

Annual recurring revenue (ARR) is the yearly value of subscription or contracted revenue that is expected to repeat, measured at a point in time. For most subscription businesses it equals monthly recurring revenue multiplied by 12. It leaves out one-off set-up fees, consulting work and unusual usage spikes, and counts each customer at what they actually pay after any discount.

Recurring revenue

Recurring revenue comes back without being won again each time, through subscriptions, retainers or service contracts. Contracted revenue is the part committed for a fixed term.

Monthly recurring revenue (MRR)

Monthly recurring revenue is the subscription revenue a business expects to bill in a normal month. Its monthly movements show where growth comes from and where it leaks away.

Worked example

Ledgerline is a fictional US software business with 400 customers on monthly plans, paying an average of $250 a month each. Last year it also earned $150,000 from one-off implementation projects.

ARR = 400 customers times $250 times 12 = $1,200,000.

The implementation income is real revenue, but it does not repeat, so it stays out of ARR. Forty of the customers are on a half-price first-year discount that ends next quarter. If the seller counts them at full price, ARR looks higher than anything the business has yet billed.

Why buyers care

Software businesses are often priced as a multiple of ARR, so every overstated dollar costs you several. Rebuild ARR yourself from the billing system, customer by customer, rather than accepting a dashboard figure. Check that annual plans are not counted twice, that failed or paused payments are excluded and that every customer counted is still active.

ARR on its own says nothing about how long customers stay, so read it alongside churn and net revenue retention. Loupe's valuation tool values SaaS businesses that report ARR on an ARR multiple and cross-checks the result against an SDE multiple.

Churn

Churn is the rate at which a business loses customers or recurring revenue over a period. Customer churn and revenue churn can tell very different stories.

Net revenue retention

Net revenue retention compares the recurring revenue from existing customers now with the same customers a year earlier, including upgrades, downgrades and cancellations.

  • Monthly recurring revenue (MRR)

    Monthly recurring revenue is the subscription revenue a business expects to bill in a normal month. Its monthly movements show where growth comes from and where it leaks away.

  • Churn

    Churn is the rate at which a business loses customers or recurring revenue over a period. Customer churn and revenue churn can tell very different stories.

  • Net revenue retention

    Net revenue retention compares the recurring revenue from existing customers now with the same customers a year earlier, including upgrades, downgrades and cancellations.

  • Recurring revenue

    Recurring revenue comes back without being won again each time, through subscriptions, retainers or service contracts. Contracted revenue is the part committed for a fixed term.

  • Valuation multiple

    A valuation multiple expresses a price as a number of times a financial measure, such as SDE, adjusted EBITDA or ARR. It only means something once you know what it is applied to.

  • Revenue multiple

    A revenue multiple expresses a price as a number of times annual revenue. Because it ignores costs, it is best used as a cross-check for most businesses rather than as the basis of a price.

  • Deferred revenue

    Deferred revenue is money customers have already paid for goods or services the business has not yet delivered. It is a liability until the work is done.

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  • Rising churn, refunds or chargebacks

    Customers leaving faster, asking for their money back or disputing payments are early signs that revenue will shrink, often before the headline numbers show it.

    Severity: price it inCustomers and revenue
  • Heavy discounting to hit targets

    Revenue bought with deep discounts, cut-price prepaid deals or stock pushed onto resellers flatters the final year before a sale and is unlikely to last.

    Severity: price it inCustomers and revenue
  • Customer prepayments already spent

    When customers have paid in advance and the seller has spent the cash, you inherit the work of delivering without the money that paid for it.

    Severity: price it inCustomers and revenue
  • See a low, likely and high value from the figures you have, and whether the asking price holds up.

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